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2024-12-13 11:31:08
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Ministry of Finance of the Republic of Korea: We will pay close attention to the financial and foreign exchange market trends and take adequate measures to curb excessive fluctuations in the foreign exchange market.Japanese manufacturers' confidence index turned negative to the central bank's forecast in December. A short-term survey in Reuters, Japan, found that Japanese manufacturers' business confidence deteriorated further in December due to concerns about US protectionist policies. The survey of 505 large Japanese non-financial enterprises showed that manufacturers' confidence index fell from 5 in November to -1 in December, which was the first time since last February, and the number of pessimists exceeded optimists for the first time in 10 months. The loss of business confidence may cast a shadow over the Bank of Japan's forecast. The Bank of Japan had previously predicted that a steady recovery driven by rising wages and consumption would help inflation reach the 2% target in a sustainable way and justify further interest rate hikes. Many manufacturing industries have reported that business confidence has declined. Among electronic machinery manufacturers, steel and non-ferrous metal manufacturers, pessimists far exceed optimists.Xie Yunliang, macro chief analyst of Cinda Securities, said that historically, the establishment of a "moderately loose" policy orientation needs to meet two major conditions, namely, the domestic pressure to stabilize prices is high and the foreign Federal Reserve is in a loose cycle. At present, it is judged that both situations may exist next year.


CITIC Jiantou: China's commercial space layout continues to land, and SpaceX's first mobile phone direct connection constellation has been built. CITIC Jiantou Research Report said that China's state-owned private enterprises have laid out one after another, and the satellite development and rocket launch modes have gradually transformed, and commercial space forces are expected to accelerate the layout process of low-orbit Internet. Recently, China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation Commercial Satellite Co., Ltd. unveiled its design concept of Internet satellite for the first time, including standardization, low cost, integration, digitalization and scale. The company's production line in Tianjin has an annual production capacity of more than 100 satellites, and the satellite super factory in Wenchang, Hainan is expected to be put into operation in 2025, with an annual production capacity of 1,000 satellites. The third batch of networked satellites in Qian Fan (G60) constellation was successfully launched, and the number of satellites in orbit increased to 54. China Telecom invested 1 billion yuan to set up a new satellite company. Internationally, SpaceX has built the world's first low-orbit mobile phone direct connection constellation, and the three European aerospace giants Airbus Group, Terez Company and Leonardo Company want to jointly build a new satellite company.TF Securities: The supply-side reform of cement has gradually entered the second stage, and the industry profits are expected to go out of the relative bottom. According to the TF Securities Research Report, the whole process of the supply-side reform of cement industry can be divided into two steps. In the first step, the effect of "reducing production" was achieved by controlling the new production capacity and promoting peak-shifting production nationwide, and the industry profits were pushed up to a new high in 2019. At present, the cement industry is gradually entering the second stage of supply-side reform, and it is expected to realize the withdrawal of actual production capacity with the help of market-oriented behaviors such as environmental protection, double carbon policy and enterprise merger and reorganization. In the short term, peak-shifting production is still the most effective means to adjust the balance between supply and demand. After entering 2025, with the gradual tightening of the policy of restricting overcapacity, enterprises are forced to withdraw from small and medium-sized production capacity by making up the indicators of overcapacity, and the industry is expected to begin to realize real capacity clearing. In 2027, it will enter the stage of deepening and perfecting carbon trading, and the effect of industry capacity optimization is expected to be further revealed. At present, the profit end of the cement industry has shown signs of stabilization. Under the dual promotion of policy-driven and self-restraint under the growth of corporate profit demands, the profit in the fourth quarter is expected to begin to walk out of the relative bottom. CONCH, Shangfeng Cement, huaxin cement, China Resources Building Materials Technology and Western Cement are recommended.CITIC Jiantou: China's commercial space layout continues to land, and SpaceX's first mobile phone direct connection constellation has been built. CITIC Jiantou Research Report said that China's state-owned private enterprises have laid out one after another, and the satellite development and rocket launch modes have gradually transformed, and commercial space forces are expected to accelerate the layout process of low-orbit Internet. Recently, China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation Commercial Satellite Co., Ltd. unveiled its design concept of Internet satellite for the first time, including standardization, low cost, integration, digitalization and scale. The company's production line in Tianjin has an annual production capacity of more than 100 satellites, and the satellite super factory in Wenchang, Hainan is expected to be put into operation in 2025, with an annual production capacity of 1,000 satellites. The third batch of networked satellites in Qian Fan (G60) constellation was successfully launched, and the number of satellites in orbit increased to 54. China Telecom invested 1 billion yuan to set up a new satellite company. Internationally, SpaceX has built the world's first low-orbit mobile phone direct connection constellation, and the three European aerospace giants Airbus Group, Terez Company and Leonardo Company want to jointly build a new satellite company.


General Motors (GM): The unmanned business Cruise and GM Technical team will be merged, and the plan is expected to be completed in the first half of 2025. According to the priority of GM's capital allocation, GM will no longer fund Cruise's self-driving taxi development business.With the general election approaching, German Chancellor Angela Scholz supports reducing the value-added tax on basic groceries. German Chancellor Angela Scholz said in an interview on the evening of December 10th local time that he was in favor of reducing the value-added tax on basic groceries from 7% to 5% to help low-income families cope with inflation. The center-left leader also said that although the opposition Conservative Party has a big lead in the polls, he is confident of winning the early election on February 23rd.Market information: Honda will terminate its autonomous driving partnership with General Motors.

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